Biofuels – September 2011

“Can’t Anyone Here Play this Game?” Although most of the stocks are well below their IPO price, bankers claim that the industrial biotech boom (over fifty venture-funded private companies) continues, with several more filings in process. As a whole, the technology offers the prospect of energy and specialty chemicals from renewable resources, but the route

International LNG – September 2011

 Fundamentals getting better all the time A well known LNG glut to 2015 has evaporated as Japan struggles to offset lost nuclear power with both oil and gas imports. Secular demand beyond 2015 is also rising and at extremely attractive prices. India’s Petronet, the country’s leading operator of LNG regas assets in country, projects that,

Natural Gas – September 2011

 While the US struggles to pass an “Act,” the Free Market moves ahead   With all the talk about shovel ready/other job creating infrastructure investment, the noise around the proposed Natural Gas Act continues at a high pitch. Infighting among/between energy producers and consumers threatens any “act”-ion at all. Opponents include Koch Industries (refiner), the

Masdar Green Theme – September 2011

Masdar’s Green Theme (and Thumb) Continues to Fade to (Carbon) Black   The Government of Abu Dhabi, along with it’s most visible sovereign wealth fund, has promoted an environmental agenda for the last five years, promising a Zero Emissions City, a solar PV industry, numerous carbon capture projects, and a 7% renewable energy target for

Geopolitics – September 2011

  Well, at the end of the day, slowing economic activity inevitably reflects – badly – on energy and commodity prices (duhh), especially when the macro correlations (strong dollar-weak commodities, etc) are so fierce. During periods of economic growth, a key component in commodity valuation is the recognition of supply bottlenecks, and a price attached

Nuclear Power – August 2011

 State of the State – Half a Year after Fukushima   It’s been less than six months since the human, environmental, and economic tragedies of the Japanese earthquake/tsunami and Fukushima accident. The effect on global nuclear power has not been uniform — US plans continue to move toward late decade construction. Several Westinghouse/Toshiba designs are

Solar

Will the last guy out of Tempe (First Solar HQ) turn out the lights?   For followers of First Solar, once a 15 bagger from the IPO, last night’s press release marked a sad, but inevitable, transition from startup to ‘corporate’ — former CFO and Project President Jens Meyerhoff will leave the company next month.

Wind Power – August 2011

 It’s B-a-a-a-a-ck!   Quietly, since the 2009 meltdown (orders down 25%, including 50%+ in the US), interest in wind power has recovered quite nicely — no 50% higher than the mid ’09 trough, and 15% over pre-recession highs. Leadership mix has shifted, with two Chinese ‘home grown’ vendors in the Global Top Five (end of

Oil Markets – August 2011

  Oil and the Markets   The oil price seems secondary to the gyrations of global markets, accounting, in part, for the delay in this note, although US consumption continues to support weakening economic activity (consumption down 3% YoY for most of the summer).  While it’s not easy to allocate reduced US consumption between energy

Transportation – June 2011

Transportation – Inter-Concept Competition Coming? US gasoline prices have retreated from early May highs (see above), but are likely to move with underlying crude as the next spike unfolds.  Meanwhile, auto, truck, and engine manufacturers rush to develop battery and natural gas-based transport options, as the US oil/gas ratio continues well over 20x (versus historical